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安省学校罢工对联邦大选的影响有多大?
How a school strike in Ontario could affect the federal election




根据CBC安省事务记者Mike Crawley的报道,尽管安省省长福特努力避免参与联邦大选,但安省对联邦大选的影响使他不得不受到极大关注。

安省约有55,000名教育工作者,如果在本周末还未就工作合同达成协议,他们准备在10月7日周一举行罢工。这将影响到安省200万名中小学生。

尽管教育是省内问题,但联邦保守党担心罢工对其在安省大选中有很大的影响。特别是在多伦多那些还摇摆不定的选区,因为不断有反馈过来的信息显示安省选民对福特的不满,使他们因此不愿投票给谢尔(Andrew Scheer)。

与安省福特政府一直对立的教师员工如果在这节骨眼上举行罢工,将对希尔极其不利。



9月30日周一,安省包括5.5万名属于加拿大公共雇员工会(CUPE)的教育工作者(education workers),就开始了“按章工作行动”(work-to-rule)。 这些工会会员包括学校的秘书、职员、保洁员及教师助手(educational assistants)等。 10月2日周三,工会宣布下周一开始正式罢工,工会已经告诉学生父母做出托儿安排, 而且有教育局也宣布,下周一将会关闭学校。

尽管安省教育厅长莱切(Stephen Lecce)拒绝猜测选择此时罢工的背后原因,但活跃于联邦和安省政党的保守党人士私下表示,他们坚信这与竞选活动有关。

他们相信,至少工会正试图利用这次选举为教职员以达成更好的协议,同时也希望福特保守党政府连累联邦保守党的竞选。许多保守党人也认为工会还有更大的目的,那就是迫使福特重返公众视野来削弱谢尔获胜的机会。



几周来,福特一直保持低调,坚称自己太忙而无法参与竞选活动。与去年相比,他采取了许多机会向自由党领袖特鲁多开炮,他的表现与过去相比发生了急剧变化。但联邦保守党承认,直言不讳的福特无法帮助联邦保守党树立良好的政治形象。

联邦邦自由党显然非常认同这一点,并在大选中加以利用,这就是为什么不管是在安省还是其他地方,特鲁多一直公然将谢尔与福特联系起来。

如果周一发生罢工,福特政府将有两种选择:一是结束省议会目前的休会期,强制通过复工条例;或者让罢工继续下去。

如果政府选择立法,福特政府将不得不面临各种提问,如果出席会议,他必将成为媒体的焦点。

如果政府选择让罢工继续,那么父母们为安置孩子而愁眉不展、身心疲惫时,公众舆论就有可能站到反对工会那头。同样,公众舆论也有可能会出现在福特的对立面。工会提供的统计数据(并没有受到政府的质疑)表明,其成员的平均年薪为38,000元,这么低的工资, 公众是无法指责罢工者有贪婪之心。



当然,目前避免罢工的机会仍然存在,双方都同意在10月4日星期五下午回到谈判桌,必要时会在整个周末进行谈判。

教育厅长莱切说,当上周末谈判中断时,各方已接近达成协议。但是,由于目前的政治风险很高,任何事情都可能发生。

10月2日周三,记者Mike Crawley在新闻发布会上询问了教育工会的领导人,罢工时间的确定是否与选举活动有关。他们并没有否认。

Mike Crawley是CBC新闻的安省事务记者。他因其关于eHealth支出丑闻的报告以及安省福利支付计算机系统的缺陷而获奖。 在2005年加入CBC之前,他以自由记者的身份记录了非洲19个国家的故事,并在卑诗省担任报纸记者。



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